Snow Before You Go: Where to Find the Best Snow this Week

Newsroom Most Popular Snow Before You Go: Where to Find the Best Snow this Week

Can’t wait to hit the slopes? Wait. Check Meteorologist Chris Tomer’s predictions before you pack the car to find out what the weather will be and how it can affect snow conditions, plus find out which ski resorts will have the best snow for the weekend.

Snow Before You Go | Weekly Weather Reports

by Meteorologist Chris Tomer

November 27, 2022

Tomer’s Take

The hot spot through 12/4 is the West with a large pattern shift and 2-3 storm combo. Major snow totals are likely. My picks for where to ski: On Friday 12/2 ski Schweitzer, Brundage, or the Sierras. On Saturday 12/3 ski the Sierras, Tetons, or Wasatch. On Sunday 12/4 ski the Western Slope of Colorado, the Wasatch, or Tetons.

California

2-3 different storm systems are lined-up through 12/4. The first storm system only brushes the Sierra 11/28-11/29 with light accumulation. Storm number two is major with heavy snow accumulation 12/1-12/2 (weak atmospheric river). A third storm system is possible with moderate snow accumulation on 12/4.

Pacific Northwest

Three different storm systems are lined-up through 12/4. The first delivers moderate snow accumulation 11/27-11/28. The second delivers heavy snow accumulation 11/29-12/2. The third delivers moderate to heavy accumulation 12/3-12/4.

Whistler/Blackcomb

Three different storm systems are lined-up through 12/4. The first delivers moderate to heavy snow accumulation 11/27-11/28. The second delivers moderate to heavy accumulation 11/29-11/30. The third delivers light to moderate accumulation 12/2-12/3.

Banff Area

2-3 different storm systems are lined-up through 12/4. The first delivers light to moderate accumulation 11/27-11/28. The second delivers moderate to heavy accumulation 11/30-12/2. Influence from a third storm system is possible on 12/3-12/4.

Idaho

Three different storm systems are possible through 12/4 with major accumulation. The first delivers moderate accumulation 11/27-11/28. The second and third deliver an extended period of heavy snow between 11/30-12/4. Several powder days are likely.

Montana

2-3 different storm systems are possible through 12/4. The first delivers light accumulation 11/27-11/28. The second delivers light to moderate accumulation 12/2-12/3. A third storm delivers light accumulation on 12/4-12/5.

Wyoming

Three different storm systems are lined-up through 12/4. The first delivers heavy snow accumulation 11/27-11/29. Light residual snow possible on 12/30. The second storm system delivers moderate to heavy accumulation 12/2-12/3. A third storm delivers light to moderate accumulation 12/4-12/5.

Colorado

Two different storm systems are lined-up through 12/4. The first delivers moderate to heavy accumulation in the Central and Northern Mountain zones 11/28-11/29 with much colder air. The Southern Mountains receive moderate accumulation. The third storm system delivers light to moderate accumulation 12/2-12/3 to the Central and Northern Mountain zones. The Southern Mountains receive moderate to heavy accumulation.

Utah

2-3 different storm systems are lined-up through 12/4. The first delivers heavy accumulation 11/28-11/29. The second delivers moderate to heavy accumulation 12/2-12/3. A third possible storm system delivers moderate accumulation 12/4-12/5. Grand total snow accumulation in Little Cottonwood Canyon between 11/27-12/4 is likely to exceed two feet.

Northeast

Two different storm systems are likely through 12/4, but most of the precipitation falls as rain with only light snow accumulation on the back side of each system.

Snow before you go 11-22-22

 


November 22, 2022

Tomer’s Take

The hot spots through Thanksgiving are the Pacific Northwest, Banff, and northern Rockies. After Thanksgiving the pattern shifts and most of the West turns snowier and colder. In the Northeast, a storm system on 11/25-11/26 is trending weaker with a 2nd possibly stronger storm system behind it on 11/27-11/28.

My picks for where to ski on Thanksgiving day: Ski the Tetons, Big Sky, Steamboat, Eldora, Winter Park, Loveland, or Arapahoe Basin. On Friday 11/25 ski the Northeast. On Saturday ski British Columbia or Pacific Northwest. On Sunday ski Schweitzer, Banff Area, Pacific Northwest or British Columbia.

Northeast

There are two storm systems through 11/28. The first continues to trend weaker with light snow accumulation on 11/25-11/26. A second storm system might follow in its footsteps on 11/27-11/28 with light to moderate snow accumulation.

East mid-mountain 11-27-22

Pacific Northwest

Snow gradually ends late 11/22. The pattern turns more active with a couple different storm systems lined-up 11/25-11/28 with moderate to heavy snow accumulation.

Whistler/Blackcomb

Snow gradually ends late 11/22. The pattern turns more active with a couple different storm systems lined-up 11/25-11/28 with moderate snow accumulation.

Graphic of West Coast snow forecast for Thanksgiving

Banff Area

Light snow between 11/22-11/23. Then it’s drier until 11/27-11/28 when moderate snow accumulation arrives.

California

High pressure remains in control until a pattern shift occurs on/after 11/26. Moderate to heavy snow accumulation 11/27-11/29.

Wyoming and Montana

Light snow on 11/23. Then moderate to heavy accumulation 11/27-11/29.

Idaho

Light to moderate accumulation 11/22-11/23 especially in northern Idaho around Schweitzer. Then a more active pattern delivers moderate accumulation 11/27-11/29.

Graphic of West Coast snow forecast for Thanksgiving

Colorado

Light to moderate accumulation 11/23-11/24. A more active pattern delivers moderate snow accumulation 11/27-11/29.

Utah

Light snow on 11/23. Then it’s dry until a pattern change occurs on/after 11/26. Moderate to heavy accumulation 11/26-11/29.


November 20, 2022

Tomer’s Take

It’s a see-saw storm track through Thanksgiving with a high pressure ridge West and a potential storm system for the East. Then the pattern shifts for the Pacific Northwest bringing snow back into the forecast.

My picks for some of the best skiing on Thanksgiving and Black Friday include British Columbia, Pacific Northwest, Banff Area, and Schweitzer. On Saturday 11/26 ski the Northeast or the Pacific Northwest. On Sunday 11/27 ski the Pacific Northwest, British Columbia, Banff Area, Montana, Idaho, or Wyoming.

Northeast

There’s nothing big until possibly 11/25-11/26 when a coastal low pressure develops. The intensity and track are still in question. At this point I’m forecasting light to moderate snow accumulation for the interior ski areas of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. These numbers increase if the intensity and track are optimal.

Pacific Northwest and Whistler/Blackcomb

An incredibly dry stretch finally ends on or after 11/22 when a pattern shift occurs allowing a small storm system to sneak through with light to moderate snow accumulation. This opens the door for a more organized storm system and better moisture flow between 11/24-11/27 with moderate to heavy snow accumulation.

Banff Area

Light snow accumulation is possible 11/22-11/23. Then light to moderate snow accumulation possible 11/24-11/27 with a pattern shift.

Wyoming, Montana and Idaho

Light snow accumulation possible 11/23. But, there’s nothing big until the pattern shifts between 11/26-11/28 when moderate to heavy snow accumulation is possible.

Colorado and Utah

A mainly dry pattern with high pressure in control through 11/25. Then a pattern shift delivers moderate to heavy snow accumulation between 11/26-11/28.

New Mexico

A mainly dry pattern with high pressure in control through 11/27. Then light snow is possible on 11/28.

California

A mainly dry pattern with high pressure in control through 11/26. Then a pattern shift might deliver moderate snow accumulation 11/27-11/28.


November 16, 2022

Tomer’s Take

On Thursday, November 17, my picks for some of the best skiing are the Banff area, Bridger Bowl, Big Sky, Wyoming, and the Northeast. Friday, November 18, ski Winter Park, Loveland, Eldora, Keystone, or A-Basin. On Saturday 11/19 and Sunday 11/20 the pattern is much drier but you will find new snow in the Northeast near the Great Lakes. Read on for a regional breakdown, and go to onthesnow.com/skireport or download the OnTheSnow app for the latest snow conditions.
Chart of expected snowfall at North America Ski resorts

Northeast

On 11/16 a coastal storm system spreads moderate snow accumulation inland across the ski areas then robust lake effect snow takes over. 11/16 and 11/17 are the powder days at most resorts. I’m forecasting the most snow accumulation at Jay Peak around a foot grand total. After the 11/16 storm system there are no additional large storm systems through 11/22.

Snow forecast graphic for New England

Banff Area

On 11/16 a fast moving cold front delivers light to moderate snow accumulation in the Banff area. 11/16 and 11/17 are the powder days. Then the pattern dries out through 11/22 with snow possible thereafter as the pattern shifts.

Wyoming and Montana

A fast moving cold front delivers light snow accumulation and colder air starting the afternoon of 11/16 in Montana. The snow hits Wyoming the evening of 11/16 through the morning of 11/17 with light accumulation and colder air. 11/16 and 11/17 are the powder days. Then the pattern dries out through 11/22.

Colorado and New Mexico

On 11/17 a fast moving cold front delivers light to moderate snow accumulation in Colorado. Light snow accumulation hits northern New Mexico early on 11/18. The powder days are 11/17 and 11/18 in Colorado and New Mexico. Then the pattern dries out through 11/22.

Idaho

Light snow brushes the ski areas 11/17. Then it’s a dry pattern until 11/22.

Utah

The Wasatch and High Uintas might get a dusting late 11/17 into early 11/18, but this cold front and jet flow largely misses Utah. The pattern stays dry through 11/22.

California

The current storm track misses California to the north through 11/22. Will it change? A pattern shift is likely on or after 11/22.

Pacific Northwest and British Columbia

A strong ridge of high pressure is blocking the Pacific Northwest through 11/20. The storm systems are going up and around the region. New snow hits the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia on 11/21-11/22 with a pattern shift.

Snow forecast graphic for Western North America


November 13, 2022

Welcome back to ski season and the first Snow Before You Go forecast for the season. It’s been a good start to the ’22-’23 ski season thanks to some early-season snowstorms, with a number of ski resorts already opening. This article gives a preview of some of the best places to ski this month. Meanwhile, the biggest snow over the next 7 days favors the Intermountain West and the Northeast.

Mid-november forecast image

Tomer’s Take

On Thursday, November 17, my picks for some of the best skiing are the Banff area, Bridger Bowl, Big Sky, and the Northeast. Friday, November 18, ski Loveland, Eldora, Keystone, or A-Basin. On Saturday and Sunday it’s a toss-up with very little new snow. Read on for a regional breakdown, and go to onthesnow.com/skireport or download the OnTheSnow app for the latest snow conditions.

Northeast

The bulk of the snow comes from two different storm systems.  The first storm system delivers light to moderate accumulation on 11/13.  The 2nd storm system delivers light to moderate accumulation on 11/16.  Both are coastal areas of low pressure.  We might see some lake effect snow with/behind both storm systems.
Chris Tomer November 14 forecast model

Colorado

The pattern favors the Central and Northern Mountains of Colorado for the biggest totals through 11/20.  A northerly jet flow delivers fast-moving cold fronts on 11/14-11/15 with light to moderate accumulation.  A second cold front delivers light to moderate accumulation 11/18-11/19.  For the Southern Mountains, most of the snow comes from a southern track low on 11/13-11/14 with light to moderate accumulation.

 

New Mexico

The bulk of accumulation comes from a southern track low.  Light to moderate accumulation occurs on 11/13-11/14 with some light additional accumulation on the 11/15.

 

Wyoming and Montana

A fast northerly jet flow delivers a few different cold fronts with light to moderate snow accumulation.  The prime days are 11/14, 11/16-11/17.

 

Idaho and Utah

Both states are on the periphery of the storm track.  I’m only forecasting small snow chances with minimal mountain accumulation.  Will this change?  Possibly by 11/22-11/23.

 

Banff Area

A fast northerly jet flow delivers light to moderate snow accumulation primarily on 11/16.  A touch of light snow is possible on 11/14.

 

Whistler/Blackcomb

The flow largely misses western B.C. until the end of the period closer to 11/20-11/22.

 

California

Residual light snow possible early 11/13.  Then the flow misses the Sierra with high pressure dominating through 11/20.

 

Pacific Northwest

The flow misses the PNW through 11/20 with high pressure in control.  When will it change?  Possibly around 11/21.

 

Model of odds for best snow November 14

October 2022

Meteorologist Chris Tomer gave us a preview of what we may see this winter in his 2022/2023 long-range winter forecast. Starting in November, check back regularly for Tomer’s twice-per-week winter forecasts, along with his predictions on what ski resorts will have the best snow for the upcoming weekend.

The third weekend of October saw the first major snowstorm of the year, which brought snow to many North American ski resorts in the west. This first snowstorm reflected much of the early-season long-range winter forecast for 2022/2023. It had been abnormally warm and dry across much of the west before this storm. And the snowfall couldn’t have come at a better time, with a few Midwest ski resorts opening last week, and Arapahoe Basin opening on Sunday.

I expect this same pattern to continue through December and into 2023 favoring many of the same areas that just saw snow in the West and Pacific Northwest. I’m expecting another active pattern for the West during the first week of November.

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